Ohio high school football playoff picks: who wins?

Video: Hartley vs Ottawa-Glandorf highlights
Watch the defending state champion Hawks outlast the Titans 38-35 in a D-IV regional final last week.

Man versus machine continues. For the past six years I've picked Ohio high school postseason games against Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50 formula. This season we are adding Need Freeman's CalPreps picks in the fold. In Week 13, I crushed the computers. Common sense won out over calculus. I went 23-5, while DP was 21-7. Cal Freeman? 19-9. Enough gloating.

On to Week 14.

Drum roll. Below is a comprehensive look at who thinks who wins final four games.

Division I
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 25
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
4 Cleveland St. Ignatius (12-1) vs. 1 Powell Olentangy Liberty (13-0) at Mansfield Arlin Stadium: St. Ignatius
3 Pickerington Central (12-1) vs. 5 Cincinnati St. Xavier (8-5) at Piqua Alexander Stadium, Purk Field: Pickerington Central

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(4) #1 Cleveland St Ignatius (12-1, D1 R1) by 19 (88%) vs (1) #11 Olentangy Liberty (13-0, D1 R2)
(5) #4 Cincinnati St Xavier (8-5, D1 R4) by 3 (58%) vs (3) #6 Pickerington Central (12-1, D1 R3)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH) vs. Olentangy Liberty (Powell, OH) at Arlin Field (Mansfield, OH), 7:30pm   [projection: St. Ignatius (Cleveland, OH) 31-19]
St. Xavier (Cincinnati, OH) vs. Pickerington Central (Pickerington, OH) at Piqua (OH), 7:30pm   [projection: St. Xavier (Cincinnati, OH) 21-17]

Division II
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 25
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
1 Massillon Perry (11-2) vs. 4 Hudson (11-2) at Uniontown Lake Alumni Field: Perry
4 Whitehouse Anthony Wayne (10-3) vs. 3 Cincinnati La Salle (11-2) at Sidney Memorial Stadium: LaSalle

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(4) #28 Hudson (11-2, D2 R5) by 1 (52%) vs (1) #32 Massillon Perry (11-2, D2 R7)
(3) #5 Cincinnati La Salle (11-2, D2 R8) by 26 (95%) vs (4) Anthony Wayne (10-3, D2 R6)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Hudson (OH) vs. Perry (Massillon, OH) at Lake (Uniontown, OH), 7:30pm   [projection: Perry (Massillon, OH) 20-14]
Wayne (Whitehouse, OH) vs. La Salle (Cincinnati, OH) at Sidney (OH), 7:30pm   [projection: La Salle (Cincinnati, OH) 38-3]

Division III
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 26
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
1 Columbus St. Francis DeSales (13-0) vs. 2 Akron Archbishop Hoban (12-1) vs. at Mansfield Arlin Stadium: Hoban
1 Toledo Central Catholic (13-0) vs. 7 Trotwood-Madison (11-2) at Lima Spartan Stadium: TCC

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(2) #9 Akron Hoban (12-1, D3 R9) by 3 (58%) vs (1) #13 Toledo CC (13-0, D3 R10)
(1) #10 Columbus De Sales (13-0, D3 R11) by 7 (66%) vs (7) #21 Trotwood-Madison (11-2, D3 R12)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Central Catholic (Toledo, OH) vs. Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood, OH) at Lima (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Central Catholic (Toledo, OH) 24-22]
St. Francis de Sales (Columbus, OH) vs. Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH) at Arlin Field (Mansfield, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: St. Francis de Sales (Columbus, OH) 28-26]




Division IV
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 25
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
2 Steubenville (12-1) vs. 1 Perry (13-0) at Youngstown Boardman New Spartan Stadium: Steubenville
3 Kettering Archbishop Alter (13-0) vs. 5 Columbus Bishop Hartley (10-2) at London Bowlus Field: Alter

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(2) #33 Steubenville (12-1, D4 R15) by 6 (66%) vs (1) Perry (13-0, D4 R13)
(3) #16 Kettering Alter (13-0, D4 R16) by 2 (54%) vs (5) #23 Columbus Hartley (11-2, D4 R14)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Archbishop Alter (Kettering, OH) vs. Bishop Hartley (Columbus, OH) at London (OH), 7:30pm   [projection: Archbishop Alter (Kettering, OH) 35-31]
Steubenville (OH) vs. Perry (OH) at Boardman (Youngstown, OH), 7:30pm   [projection: Steubenville (OH) 35-28]

Division V
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 26
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
3 Milan Edison (12-1) vs. 3 Canton Central Catholic (9-3) at Strongsville Pat Catan Stadium: Edison
2 Coldwater (12-1) vs. 3 Coshocton (12-1) vs. at Lewis Center Olentangy Braves Stadium: Coldwater

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(3) Milan Edison (12-1, D5 R18) by 3 (57%) vs (3) Canton CC (9-3, D5 R17)
(2) Coldwater (12-1, D5 R20) by 8 (69%) vs (3) Coshocton (12-1, D5 R19)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Coldwater (OH) vs. Coshocton (OH) at Olentangy (Lewis Center, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Coldwater (OH) 31-20]
Edison (Milan, OH) vs. Canton Central Catholic (Canton, OH) at Strongsville (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Edison (Milan, OH) 24-21]

Division VI
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 25
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
1 Cuyahoga Heights (13-0) vs. 5 Newark Catholic (9-4) at Orrville Red Rider Stadium: Cuyahoga Heights
1 Hamler Patrick Henry (13-0) vs. 1 Maria Stein Marion Local (12-1) at Lima Spartan Stadium: Marion Local

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(1) Cuyahoga Heights (13-0, D6 R21) by 17 (86%) vs (5) Newark Catholic (9-4, D6 R23)
(1) #29 Maria Stein Marion Local (12-1, D6 R24) by 11 (76%) vs (1) Patrick Henry (13-0, D6 R22)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland, OH) vs. Newark Catholic (Newark, OH) at Orrville (OH), 7:30pm   [projection: Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland, OH) 28-17]
Marion Local (Maria Stein, OH) vs. Henry (Hamler, OH) at Lima (OH), 7:30pm   [projection: Marion Local (Maria Stein, OH) 31-10]

Division VII
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 26
Home Team Listed First

Eric Frantz
3 Warren John F. Kennedy (12-1) vs. 7 Canal Winchester Harvest Preparatory (10-3) at New Philadelphia Woody Hayes Quaker Stadium: Warren JFK
3 Minster (9-4) vs. 1 McComb (12-1) vs. at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Minster

Drew Pasteur Picks (Fantastic 50)
(3) Warren JFK (12-1, D7 R25) by 13 (79%) vs (7) Harvest Prep (10-3, D7 R27)
(1) McComb (12-1, D7 R26) by 4 (59%) vs (3) Minster (9-4, D7 R28)

Ned Freeman Picks (CalPreps)
Kennedy (Warren, OH) vs. Harvest Prep (Canal Winchester, OH) at New Philadelphia (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Kennedy [John F.] (Warren, OH) 35-21]
McComb (OH) vs. Minster (OH) at Wapakoneta (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: McComb (OH) 31-24]


The Past...

Eric Frantz vs Drew Pasteur vs CalPreps Playoff Picking History

State Finals

EF Picks 2015: 3-4 (43%)
EF Picks 2014: 3-4 (43%)
EF Picks 2013: 4-3 (57%)
EF Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
EF Picks 2011: 3-3 (50%)
EF Picks 2010: 4-2 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 4-3 (57%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 4-3 (57%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 3-4 (43%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: N/A

State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2015: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2014: 13-1 (93%)
EF Picks 2013: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 10-4 (71%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2016: 23-5 (82%)
EF Picks 2015: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2014: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 21-7 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 23-5 (82%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 22-6 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

CalPreps Picks 2016: 19-9 (68%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2016: 43-13 (77%)
EF Picks 2015: 43-13 (77%)
EF Picks 2014: 44-12 (79%)
EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 45-11 (80%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

CalPreps Picks 2016: 43-13 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2016: 87-25 (78%)
EF Picks 2015: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 91-21 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 89-23 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

CalPreps Picks 2016: 94-18 (84%)