Uncommited: Dorial Green-BeckhamHigh School: Hillcrest (Springfield, Mo.)Position:
6-foot-6, 225 poundsTom Lemming's Top 100: No. 1Finalist (alphabetical):
Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas
It's the biggest announcement in recent memory in the high school football world.
Which school will Dorial Green-Beckham sign with on National Signing Day on Wednesday?
Well, that's the biggest secret in the high school football world.
The nation's No. 1 recruit, also a U.S. Air Force All-American and former National Athlete of the Year
, and his family have done an outstanding job of handling the recruiting process. They accommodated the media whenever possible but have avoided putting Green-Beckham in the limelight to get peppered about recruiting questions.
As a result, recruiting fans have had just a small taste of Green-Beckham's thought process. Certainly not enough to develop a truly informed opinion.
Still, the prevailing thought dictates that Green-Beckham will select Arkansas over Texas, Oklahoma and Missouri.
What exactly is this fan/media consensus rooted in? Not much.
According to News-Leader writer Matt Schoch, who covered Green-Beckham for two seasons, a similar phenomena occurred over the summer when general opinion suggested Oklahoma was the frontrunner to land Green-Beckham.
"I was puzzled about a year ago this time, when some guys were saying Oklahoma was the clear favorite. I didn't understand where that was coming from," he said.
Since Green-Beckham has been so discreet about elaborating on his college choices, the current consensus in favor of Arkansas is similarly rooted in speculation of matching what Green-Beckham has expressed an interest in with logical destinations.
"It was just a lot of people connecting dots," Schoch said. "One guy goes with it and a lot of people go with it."
Does that mean Arkansas is not a possibility? Absolutely not. In fact, Schoch thinks Arkansas could be the best fit for Green-Beckham.
However, it seems that Mizzou is poised to challenge that in what appears to be a two-team race. Given Green-Beckham's family situation, location appears to be paramount in his decision, as he's not seriously considering any schools that are more than a short plane ride from Springfield.
Oklahoma could be an option, but given the Beckhams' large family, commuting by car seems more practical than air travel.
If Arkansas and Mizzou are indeed the two top contenders, there are numerous factors that muddle the situation. For starters, although Mizzou is the home-state school, Fayetteville is actually closer than Columbia, 121 miles from Springfield vs. 167 miles.
Arkansas appears to have the talent that suits Green-Beckham, with quarterback Tyler Wilson returning for his senior season. However, Missouri is bringing in Maty Mauk
, the nation's all-time leading passer in high school. He could give Missouri the edge at quarterback over the long haul and the two could potentially combine to shatter collegiate records together after shattering high school records individually.
Then there's the manner in which each school pursued him.
Mizzou tried an over-the-top, awe-inspiring approach, including a helicopter ride and a team party bus while Arkansas was more traditional in its efforts. Could Green-Beckham, who falls on the shy side of the teenage spectrum, be turned off by the razzle dazzle of Mizzou, giving Arkansas the edge?
Or, could playing in a slightly less football-crazed town (Columbia) actually be a selling point to the family-oriented Green-Beckham?
While there's many ways of looking at the countless selling points of all the schools involved, MaxPreps breaks handicaps the odds of the remaining schools in competition for DGB's services:
Texas (slim chance):
Playing alongside U.S. Air Force National Player of the Year Johnathan Gray for one of the country's most storied programs certainly has its appeal. However, it's been a long time since Green-Beckham visited Austin. Distance is also a factor.Oklahoma (long shot):
Green-Beckham would thrive in Oklahoma's pass-happy offense and wouldn't endure the rigors of playing against a brutal SEC schedule. Still, Oklahoma is a long shot, as Green-Beckham never took an official visit there (thought he did see the campus on other occasions).Arkansas (great shot):
In some ways, Arkansas seems like the perfect fit for Green-Beckham. He would be close to home and get to play right away for a team that can compete for a national championship next season.Missouri (favorite):
While Arkansas will be tempting, Missouri could win out by executing one of the biggest recruiting coups ever. With family all around the state, Columbia makes sense as a centrally located destination for Green-Beckham, even if Fayetteville is closer to Springfield. Not to mention, his last official visit was to Missouri, meaning Gary Pinkel and staff got the often critical last word.