2016 Sac-Joaquin Section football playoff projections - Week 8

Podcast: New Podcast breaking down week 8 of the Sac-Joaquin Section action.

Updated Oct. 19 at 8:30 p.m.

Until the final week, we are only looking at divisions 1-6.

In order to earn an at-large bid you need to have a minimum of two league wins. And at-large teams will be selected solely on the basis of regular season victories if they meet the two league-win minimum.



As a reminder, all league winners and runner-up teams will get automatic berths. The Delta and SFL get three automatic births.

In addition, seven leagues will get an extra automatic spot in the playoffs. The seven leagues are the VOL, SFL, Delta, PVL, TCC, TVL and MLL.

Each league champion must play at or above the level of its league competition.

Playoff Projections
Sorted by enrollment. These teams are currently in position to be an auto bid team or projected to get 6 total wins.
** Yet to win 2 league games

Division 1

Lincoln (S) - 2,827
Davis - 2,775
Oak Ridge - 2,522
Modesto - 2,457
Sheldon - 2,322
Monterey Trail - 2,304
Folsom - 2,300
Turlock - 2,300
Pitman - 2,286
Cosumnes Oaks - 2,238
Kennedy - 2,223
Gregori -  2,216
River City -  2,144
Vacaville - 1,899 (Projected D1 league winner)
Elk Grove - 1,811 (Projected D1 league winner)
St. Mary's - 883 (Projected D1 league winner)



Division II

Jesuit - 2,142
Napa - 2,093
Bear Creek - 1,981
Roseville - 1,976
Yuba City - 1,935
Grant - 1,921
**Rocklin - 1,921
Whitney - 1,906
Downey - 1,881
Inderkum - 1,881
Antelope - 1,807
Central Valley - 1,837
Bethel - 1,742
Del Oro - 1,716 (Must be no lower than DII)
Sacramento - 986 (Projected DII winner)
Central Catholic - 372 (Must be no lower than DII)

Division III

Merced - 1,734
Burbank - 1,729
Beyer - 1,723
River Valley - 1,717
Cordova - 1,692
**McNair - 1,663
Vanden - 1,658
East Union - 1,630
**American Canyon - 1,628
Vista Del lago - 1,626
Oakdale - 1,605 (No lower than DIII)
El Camino - 1,531
Pacheco - 1,503
Manteca  - 1,478
Christian Brothers - 1,106 (Must be no lower than DIII)
**Los Banos - 1,418

Division IV

Sierra - 1,404
Placer - 1,357
**Center - 1,340
El Dorado - 1,240
**Liberty Ranch - 1,176
Dixon - 1,124
Calaveras - 1,070
Sonora - 940



Division V

Marysville - 900
Ripon - 869
**Escalon - 835
Hilmar - 647 (Projected league winner)
**Bear River - 696 (No lower than DV)
**Colfax - 606 (No lower that DV)
Capital Christian - 429 (Projected DV winner)
**Modesto Christian - 155 (No lower that DV)

Division VI
Orestimba - 802
Delhi - 751
**Summerville - 683
**Bret Harte - 673
Amador - 645
Argonaut - 507
Golden Sierra - 400
Bradshaw Christian - 334

Outside looking in

Woodcreek (2,221) - Potential 4th spot in SFL
Tracy - 2,123 - Potential auto bid in TCAL
Stagg - 1,999 - Potential 2 seed in SJAA
Buhach Colony - 1,767 - will need to win its final 2 games.
Golden Valley 1,727) will need to win 1 of its next 2 games.
Lindhurst - 1,130 will likely need to win 2 of its next 3 games.
**Franklin - 2,673 Franklin likely has to win 2 of its next 3 games.
**Oakmont - 1,881 will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.
**Wood - 1,594 (Must be no lower than DII) Wood will need to win 2 of the next 3 games.
**Lincoln (L) - 1,743 - Will need to get one of PVL's three spots
Rio Vista will need to win 1 of its next 3 games.
Highlands will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.
Gustine will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.
Denair will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.

Division 1 leagues
** Has two league wins



Delta - Gets 4 automatic bids
Team, enrollment, overall record, league record
**Grant (1,921) - 6-1, 3-1 (Must be no lower than DII)
**Elk Grove (1,811) - 6-1, 3-1
**Davis (2,775) - 3-4, 3-1
**Monterey Trail (2,304) - 5-2, 2-2
**Jesuit (2,142) - 4-3, 2-2
Others: Franklin (2,673) has 4 wins and 1-2 in league. Franklin likely has to win 2 of its next 3 games.

MEL - Gets 2 automatic bids
**Vacaville (1,899) - 5-2, 2-0
**Napa (2,093) - 4-3, 2-0
Others: Wood (1,594) has a chance at 4-3 overall. Wood will need to win 2 of the next 3 games.

SFL - 4 automatic bids
**Folsom (2,300) - 7-1, 4-0
**Oak Ridge (2,522) - 6-1, 3-0
**Del Oro (1,716) - 7-1, 3-1 (Must be no lower than DII)
Rocklin (1,921) - 4-3, 1-2
Others: Likely the winner of the Woodcreek (2,221) and Rocklin game will get the 4th spot. A lot could happen here.

TCAL - 2 automatic bids
**St. Mary's (883) - 5-1, 2-0 (Must be no lower than DII)
**Lincoln (2,827) - 4-3, 2-0
**Tracy (2,213) - 3-4, 2-0
Others: Tracy will need to get the 1st or 2nd seed.

Division II leagues

CVC - 2 automatic bids
**Antelope (1,807) - 7-0, 4-0
**Whitney (1,906) - 6-1, 4-0
**Roseville (1,976) has clinched a spot with 6 wins.
Others: Cosumnes Oaks (2,238) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games. Oakmont (1,881) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.



CCC - 2 automatic bids
**Turlock (2,300) - 5-2, 3-0
**Pitman (2,286) - 7-0, 3-0
Others: Buhach Colony (1,767) will need to win its final 2 games. Merced (1,734) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games. Golden Valley 1,727) will need to win 1 of its next 2 games.

Metro - 2 automatic bids
**Sacramento (986) - 6-1, 4-0 (Must be no lower than DIII)
**Burbank (1,729) - 4-3, 4-0
Others: Kennedy (2,223) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games. 

MMC - 2 automatic bids
**Modesto (2,457) - 6-1, 3-0
**Downey (1,881) - 6-2, 4-0
Others: Beyer (1,723) will need to win 1 of its next 2 games. Gregori (2,216) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games.

Division III leagues

CAL - 2 automatic bids
**El Camino (1,531) - 5-2, 2-0
**Vista del Lago (1,626) - 5-2, 2-0
**Christian Brothers (1,106) - 5-2, 2-0 (Must be no lower than DIII)
Others: Not looking like any others have a chance.

SJAA - 2 automatic bids
**Bear Creek (1,981) - 4-3, 2-0
**McNair (1,663) - 4-3, 2-0
Others: Stagg (1,999) and McNair game this week may determine if Stagg gets in. McNair can still get in with 2 more wins.



SCAC - 2 automatic bids
**Bethel (1,742) - 4-3, 2-0
**Vanden (1,658) - 4-3, 2-0
Others: American Canyon (1,628) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games.

VOL - 3 automatic bids
**Central Catholic (372) - 5-2, 4-0 (Must be no lower than DII)
**Oakdale (1,605) - 6-1, 4-0
**Manteca (1,478) - 6-1, 3-1
Others: East Union (1,630) needs to win one of its next 3 games. Sierra (1,404) needs to win 1 of its next 3 games.

Division IV leagues

PVL - 3 automatic bids
**Placer (1,357) - 3-4, 2-0
Center (1,340) - 5-1. 1-1
Lincoln (1,743) - 3-4, 1-1
Bear River (696) - 3-4, 1-1
Colfax (606) - 5-2, 1-1
Others: Likely 1 of the current 4 auto bid teams will not make it.

SVC - 2 automatic bids
**Cordova (1,692) - 5-2, 2-0
**El Dorado (1,240) - 6-1, 2-0
Others: Liberty Ranch (1,176) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games.

TCC - 3 automatic bids
**Inderkum (1,881) - 5-2, 4-0
**River Valley (1,717) - 3-4, 3-0
**Yuba City (1,935) - 5-3, 3-1
Others: The River Valley vs. River City (2,144) game could determine who gets in the playoffs.



WAC - 2 automatic bids
**Central Valley (1,837) - 6-1, 2-0
**Pacheco (1,503) - 4-3, 1-0
Others: Los Banos (1,418) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.

Division V leagues

GEL - 2 automatic bids
**Capital Christian (429) - 5-2, 3-0
**Dixon (1,124) - 5-2, 3-1
**Marysville (900) - 6-2, 3-1
Others: Lindhurst (1,130) will likely need to win 2 of its next 3 games.

MLL - 3 automatic bids
**Sonora (940) - 8-0, 4-0
**Calaveras (1,070) - 6-1, 2-1
**Amador (645) - 6-1, 3-1
Others: Argonaut (507) need to win 1 of its next 3 games. Summerville (683) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games. Bret Harte (673) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.

TVL - 3 automatic bids
**Hilmar (647) - 6-1, 2-0
**Ripon (869), 3-3, 2-0
 Modesto Christian (155) - 3-4, 1-1 (Must be no lower than DV)
Escalon (835) - 3-4, 1-1
Others: Not looking like any others have a chance.

Division VI leagues



SDL - 2 automatic bids
Bradshaw Christian (334) - 8-0, 3-0
Golden Sierra (400) - 3-4, 2-0
Others: Rio Vista (381) will need to win 1 of its next 3 games. Highlands (889) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.

SL - 2 automatic bids
Orestimba (802) - 6-1, 4-0
Delhi (751) - 7-0, 4-0
Others: Gustine (599) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games. Denair (303) will need to win 2 of its next 3 games.