Ohio high school football playoff picks: Who wins in Week 14?

By Eric Frantz Nov 21, 2018, 7:30am

Eric Frantz, Drew Pasteur and Ned Freeman go head-to-head...who we think wins in the regional finals.

Top 25 high school football rankings
A look at this week's Xcellent 25 high school football rankings presented by the Army National Guard.

Who wins in Week 14? Man versus machine continues. For the past eight years I've picked Ohio high school postseason games against Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50 formula. And I've done well. This season we again add Need Freeman's CalPreps picks into the mix. Who wins the picks comp this year? We'll find out in two weeks.

As for last week? We all tied. Everyone went 17-11. Yep. Divisions VI and II were the best with all of missing just a combined three and four games, respectively. Divisions I, III and V were brutal with a combined seven, eight and nine missed games, respectively.






Below is a comprehensive look at who each of us thinks wins this year's state semifinals. Last year both the Fantastic 50 and I got 13 out of 14 games right at this level. Could use another run like that one. 
Orrville vs. Gilmour Academy (OHSAA D-V Regional Semifinal)
Orrville vs. Gilmour Academy (OHSAA D-V Regional Semifinal)

Division I Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Friday, Nov. 23

Eric Frantz’s Picks
Powell Olentangy Liberty (9-4) vs. 9 Lakewood St. Edward (9-3) at Mansfield Arlin Stadium: St. Edward
8 Pickerington Central (11-2) vs. 1 Cin. Colerain (13-0) at Piqua Alexander Stadium: Colerain

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Lakewood St Edward (9-3 D1 R1) by 18 (87%) neu Powell Olentangy Liberty (9-4 D1 R2)
Cincinnati Colerain (13-0 D1 R4) by 10 (74%) neu Pickerington Central (11-2 D1 R3)

Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Colerain (Cincinnati, OH) vs. Pickerington Central (Pickerington, OH) at Piqua (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Colerain (Cincinnati, OH) 31-17]
St. Edward (Lakewood, OH) vs. Olentangy Liberty (Powell, OH) at Arlin Field (Mansfield, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: St. Edward (Lakewood, OH) 31-12]
 
Division II Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Friday, Nov. 23

Eric Frantz’s Picks
6 Cin. Winton Woods (12-1) vs. 3 Massillon Washington (13-0) at Gahanna Lincoln Wilbur C. Strait Field: Massillon
1 Akron Archbishop Hoban (13-0) vs. 8 Avon (12-1) at Brunswick Auto Mart Stadium: Hoban



Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Akron Archbishop Hoban (13-0 D2 R5) by 12 (77%) neu Avon (12-1 D2 R6)
Massillon Washington (13-0 D2 R7) by 6 (66%) neu Cincinnati Winton Woods (12-1 D2 R8)

Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH) vs. Avon (OH) at Brunswick (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Archbishop Hoban (Akron, OH) 38-24]
Washington (Massillon, OH) vs. Winton Woods (Cincinnati, OH) at Lincoln (Gahanna, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Washington (Massillon, OH) 38-31]

Division III Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Friday, Nov. 23

Eric Frantz’s Picks
1 Kettering Archbishop Alter (12-1) vs. Norwalk (10-3) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Alter
7 Cols. Eastmoor Acad. (12-1) vs. 4 Chagrin Falls Kenston (12-1) at New Philadelphia Woody Hayes Quaker Stadium: Kenston

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Chagrin Falls Kenston (12-1 D3 R9) by 4 (60%) neu Columbus Eastmoor Academy (12-1 D3 R11)
Kettering Archbishop Alter (12-1 D3 R12) by 15 (83%) neu Norwalk (10-3 D3 R10)
 
Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Archbishop Alter (Kettering, OH) vs. Norwalk (OH) at Wapakoneta (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Archbishop Alter (Kettering, OH) 28-14]
Kenston (Chagrin Falls, OH) vs. Eastmoor Academy (Columbus, OH) at Hayes Quaker Stadium (New Philadelphia, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Kenston (Chagrin Falls, OH) 31-28]

Division IV Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 24



Eric Frantz’s Picks
5 St. Marys Memorial (12-1) vs. 1 Cin. Wyoming (13-0) at Piqua Alexander Stadium: Wyoming
Girard (12-1) vs. Newark Licking Valley (10-3) at Dover Crater Stadium: Girard
 
Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
St Marys Memorial (12-1 D4 R14) by 1 (50%) neu Cincinnati Wyoming (13-0 D4 R16)
Girard (12-1 D4 R13) by 8 (69%) neu Newark Licking Valley (10-3 D4 R15)

Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Girard (OH) vs. Licking Valley (Newark, OH) at Dover (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Girard (OH) 31-28]
Memorial (St. Marys, OH) vs. Wyoming (Cincinnati, OH) at Piqua (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Memorial (St. Marys, OH) 28-21]

Division V Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 24

Eric Frantz’s Picks
8 Liberty Center (12-1) vs. Orrville (11-2) at Sandusky Perkins Firelands Regional Medical Center Stadium: Orrville
4 Johnstown-Monroe (12-1) vs. 3 Wheelersburg (12-1) at Jackson Holzer Field at Alumni Stadium: Wheelersburg
 
Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Liberty Center (12-1 D5 R18) by 3 (56%) neu Orrville (11-2 D5 R17)
Wheelersburg (12-1 D5 R20) by 4 (60%) neu Johnstown-Monroe (12-1 D5 R19)

Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Orrville (OH) vs. Liberty Center (OH) at Perkins (Sandusky, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Orrville (OH) 34-31]
Wheelersburg (OH) vs. Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown, OH) at Jackson (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Wheelersburg (OH) 21-20]

Division VI Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Friday, Nov. 23



Eric Frantz’s Picks
Beverly Fort Frye (12-0) vs. 1 Kirtland (13-0) at Massillon Jackson Robert Fife Stadium; Kirtland
Attica Seneca East (12-1) vs. 3 Maria Stein Marion Local (12-1) at Lima Spartan Stadium: Marion Local

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Kirtland (13-0 D6 R21) by 15 (83%) neu Beverly Fort Frye (12-0 D6 R23)
Maria Stein Marion Local (12-1 D6 R24) by 20 (89%) neu Attica Seneca East (12-1 D6 R22)
 
Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
Kirtland (OH) vs. Fort Frye (Beverly, OH) at Jackson (Massillon, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Kirtland (OH) 34-14]
Marion Local (Maria Stein, OH) vs. Seneca East (Attica, OH) at Lima (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Marion Local (Maria Stein, OH) 42-13]

Division VII Picks
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 24

Eric Frantz’s Picks
4 Fort Loramie (12-1) vs. 6 McComb (12-1) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Fort Loramie
Cuyahoga Heights (11-2) vs. Glouster Trimble (12-1) at Sparta Highland Fishburn Family Field at Covrett Stadium: Trimble

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 Picks
Glouster Trimble (12-1 D7 R27) by 2 (55%) neu Cuyahoga Heights (11-2 D7 R25)
McComb (12-1 D7 R26) by 9 (72%) neu Fort Loramie (12-1 D7 R28)

Ned Freeman’s CalPreps Picks
McComb (OH) vs. Fort Loramie (OH) at Wapakoneta (OH), 7:00pm   [projection: McComb (OH) 31-26]
Trimble (Glouster, OH) vs. Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland, OH) at Highland (Marengo, OH), 7:00pm   [projection: Trimble (Glouster, OH) 22-21]



The Past...

Eric Frantz vs Drew Pasteur vs CalPreps Playoff Picking History

State Finals

EF Picks 2017: 6-1 (86%)
EF Picks 2016: 3-4 (43%)
EF Picks 2015: 3-4 (43%)
EF Picks 2014: 3-4 (43%)
EF Picks 2013: 4-3 (57%)
EF Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
EF Picks 2011: 3-3 (50%)
EF Picks 2010: 4-2 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2017: 6-1 (86%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 5-2 (71%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 4-3 (57%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 4-3 (57%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 3-4 (43%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: N/A

CalPreps Picks 2017: 6-1 (86%)
CalPreps Picks 2016: 4-3 (57%)



State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2017: 13-1 (93%)
EF Picks 2016: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2015: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2014: 13-1 (93%)
EF Picks 2013: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2017: 13-1 (93%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 10-4 (71%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

CalPreps Picks 2016: 11-3 (79%)
CalPreps Picks 2016: 10-4 (71%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2018: 17-11 (61%)
EF Picks 2017: 21-7 (75%)
EF Picks 2016: 23-5 (82%)
EF Picks 2015: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2014: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)



DP FAN 50 Picks 2018: 17-11 (61%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2017: 21-7 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 21-7 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 23-5 (82%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 22-6 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

CalPreps Picks 2018: 17-11 (61%)
CalPreps Picks 2017: 20-8 (71%)
CalPreps Picks 2016: 19-9 (68%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2018: 39-17 (70%)
EF Picks 2017: 46-10 (82%)
EF Picks 2016: 43-13 (77%)
EF Picks 2015: 43-13 (77%)
EF Picks 2014: 44-12 (79%)
EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2018: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2017: 45-11 (80%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 45-11 (80%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

CalPreps Picks 2018: 44-12 (79%)
CalPreps Picks 2017: 45-11 (80%)
CalPreps Picks 2016: 43-13 (77%)



Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2018: 84-28 (75%)
EF Picks 2017: 92-20 (82%)
EF Picks 2016: 87-25 (78%)
EF Picks 2015: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2018: 89-23 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2017: 91-21 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2016: 91-21 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2015: 89-23 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

CalPreps Picks 2018: 86-26 (77%)
CalPreps Picks 2017: 92-20 (82%)
CalPreps Picks 2016: 94-18 (84%)