2012 Sac-Joaquin Section football playoff projection

(Editor's note: Steve Montoya is the Executive Editor at MaxPreps.com. He also has a weekly newsletter each week he sends out to the Sac-Joaquin Section football coaches. This is only a projection. We will update every week.)

Updated on October 28, 2012

Look for a bracket projection on Monday.

In order to earn an at-large bid you need to have a minimum of two league wins. (Some leagues have an advantage because they have seven total teams in the league compared to others that have five). And at-large teams will be selected solely on the basis of regular season victories if they meet the two league-win minimum. Based off last year, the teams with five total wins and at least two league wins got in.

Teams that have clinched in my opinion

Division I-IV

Yellow=new this week

Sorted from smallest to largest school size (school, wins, size of school enrollment)

1. Capital Christian (Sacramento) 8 377
2. Central Catholic (Modesto) 7 410
3. Argonaut (Jackson) 9 589
4. Summerville (Tuolumne) 7 661
   
5. Amador (Sutter Creek) 7 668
6. Hilmar 6 684
7. Sacramento 7 846 (must be no lower than DIII)
8. Bear River (Grass Valley) 7 851
   
9. Escalon 7 912
10. Ripon 10 921
11. St. Mary's (Stockton) 7 976 (must be no lower than DII)
    
12. Calaveras (San Andreas) 7 1,133
13. Los Banos 7 1,145
14. Dixon 8 1,148
15. Center (Antelope) 8 1,341
16. Placer (Auburn 9 1,346
17. American Canyon 8 1,382
18. Sierra (Manteca) 8 1,383
19. Vista del Lago (Folsom) 8 1,428 
20. Inderkum (Sacramento) 7 1,561
21. Oakdale 8 1,613
22. Patterson 7 1,632
23. El Camino (Sacramento) 6 1,656
    
24. Benicia 7 1,672
25. Cosumnes Oaks (Elk Grove) 7 1,691
26. Yuba City 8 1,771
27. Whitney (Rocklin) 8 1,777
28. Antelope 8 1,780
29. Atwater 6 1,786
30. Elk Grove 8 1,801
31. Rio Linda 8 1,802
32. Buhach Colony (Atwater) 7 1,827
33. Tracy 6 1,880
34. McNair (Stockton) 7 1,901
35. Vacaville 1,925
36. Del Campo (Fair Oaks) 7 1,953
37. Folsom 9 1,969
38. Downey 8 1,986
39. Burbank (Sacramento) 9 2,002
40. Stagg (Stockton) 8 2,088
41. Granite Bay 6 2,164
42. Pitman (Turlock) 7 2,165
    
43. Napa 2,256
44. Oak Ridge (El Dorado Hills) 8 2,262
45. Pleasant Grove (Elk Grove) 6 2,482
46. Lincoln (Stockton) 6 2,710
47. Merced 6 2,771
48. Franklin (Elk Grove) 9 2,816

Teams with 5 wins and two league victories

I don't want to pull the trigger and say these teams have clinched. The majority of the 16 seeds and even a few 15 seeds had five wins total in 2011.

Yellow=new this week

(school, size of school enrollment)

1. Enochs (Modesto) 2,472
2. Pacheco (Los Banos) 1,539
3. River Valley (Yuba City) 1,621
4. Bethel (Vallejo) 2,081
5. Nevada Union (Grass Valley) 2,255
6. Modesto Christian 212
7. Manteca 1,566
8. Liberty Ranch (Galt) 1,143
9. Davis 3,181
10. Beyer (Modesto) 2,022
11. Christian Brothers (Sacramento) 977
12. Hughson 750
13. Livingston 1,158
14. Rocklin 1,843
15. Rosemont (Sacramento) 1,609
16. Wood (Vacaville) 1,507

Teams that must win to have a chance to get in (only 1 league win)

1. Tokay (Lodi) 6 2,127
   
2. Jesuit (Carmichael) 5 2,120
3. Monterey Trail (Elk Grove) 5 2,172
4. Ponderosa (Shingle Springs) 5 1,901
   
5. Orestimba (Newman) 5 771
6. Bella Vista (Fair Oaks) 4 2,055
7. Central Valley (Ceres) 4 1,692
8. Colfax 4 785
9. Lincoln 4 1,507
10. Pioneer (Woodland) 4 1,586
11. Turlock 4 2,128
    

Teams that must win to have a chance at league runner-up

1. Marysville 2 1,012
2. Woodland 2 1,361
3. Mesa Verde (Citrus Heights) 3 1,061
4. Lodi 3 2,091
5. Vallejo 3 2,255 

Teams that must win to have a chance at league runner-up or 5 wins

1. Grant (Sacramento) 2,039
2. Rio Americano (Sacramento) 1,632
3. Vintage (Napa) 2,112
4. Weston Ranch (Stockton) 1,209
5. Del Oro (Loomis) 1,699
6. Kimball (Tracy) 1,961
7. Sonora 1,108
8. Gregori (Modesto) 1,963
9. River City (West Sacramento) 1,992
   

Teams that have been eliminated

Armijo 2,262
Bear Creek 2,059
Bret Harte 737
Casa Roble 1,536
Ceres 1,405
Chavez 2,508
Cordova 1,772
Davis, Grace 1,465
East Union 1,464
Edison 2,303
El Dorado 1,465
Fairfield 1,463
Florin 1,668
Foothill (S) 1,185
Franklin (S) 2,456
Galt 995
Golden Valley 2,124
Johansen 1,834
Johnson 1,843
Kennedy 2,432
Laguna Creek 1,672
Lathrop 1,138
Linden 723
Lindhurst 1,223
McClatchy 2,501
Mira Loma 1,638
Modesto 2,468
Natomas 1,283
Oakmont 1,610
Riverbank 699
Rodriguez  2,156
Roseville 1,996
Sheldon 2,341
Union Mine 1,046
Valley 1,507
Vanden 1,641
West 2,193
West Campus 894
Woodcreek 2,198

Divisions V and VI will be comprised of teams from the following 4 leagues: CCAA, SDL, SL and SMAL

• There are 8 automatic qualifiers.
• The 4 league champions and the 4 runners-up.
• There are 4 at-large qualifiers.

Minimum of 6 wins (school, size of school enrollment)

1. Foresthill 8 240
2. Le Grand 8 478
3. Brookside Christian (Stockton) 7 118
4. Woodland Christian 7 130
5. Ripon Christian 7 224
6. Waterford 7 607
7. Elliot Christian (Lodi) 6 224
8. Golden Sierra (Garden Valley) 6 563
9. Highlands (North Highlands) 6 905
   

Important playoff information

Divisions I-IV

• There are 40 automatic qualifiers.
• The 20 league champions and the 20 runners-up. 
• There are 24 at-large qualifiers. (NOTE: A school must win at least two league games to be eligible.)
• At-large teams will be selected solely on the basis of regular season victories.
  

Seeding the tournament

• Schools will be listed in order by number of wins, regardless of league finish. 
• If two or more teams are tied for a particular seed (same number of total wins), the following criteria will be applied, in this order:
  

1. Head-to-head
2. League standing. Note - Teams that win or share a league title will be seeded higher than non-championship teams. League standing will not be used for teams that did not win or share a league title.  
3. Combined wins of all opponents.
   
4. Calpreps/MaxPreps rankings.

Important Playoff Dates

November 9-10: First round, all divisions
November 16-17: Second round, all divisions
November 23-24: Third round, Divisions I-IV;
Nov. 30-Dec. 1: Championship Games, Divisions I-IV
December 7-8: Regional Football Games
December 14-15: State Championship Bowl Games

(Information used from www.cifsjs.org)