Tucker Israel, Lake Nona (Orlando, Fla.)
Last Year: 3,979 yards
For at least a couple of days, Israel was the all-time leading passer in Florida history with 10,588 career yards. However, John Wolford of Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville, Fla.) passed him in the final game of his career to drop Israel into second place. Israel likely will break the record in his first game and put it out of reach for awhile with a big senior season.
Why he will lead the nation in passing: Israel is a four-year varsity starter and is capable of blowing away the Florida state passing yardage record. A 5,000-yard season will put him among the top 10 passing yardage leaders of all time.
Why he won't: Israel has lost his top receiver from last year in Ryan Sousa, who graduated in 2014. Sousa caught passes for over 4,100 yards in his career, including 1,664 yards last year.